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Futures
And Commodity Trading
Please read our Disclaimer
before continuing to read our information.
Johnston Investment Management Pty Ltd does not give
investment advice and we are not recommending the trading of futures.
The product/s you trade should be your personal choice after you
have investigated every aspect of trading it. We are licensed futures
brokers and educate people on the technical analysis strategies
used to trade the futures market. Our objective is to educate our
clients and provide an effective futures brokerage service, as we
believe that you are the best person to manage your investments
and future. It's our goal to give people an unbiased view of all
the trading vehicles available, including futures.
The
Futures Markets
Traders
are attracted to trading futures by:
- Leverage.
- Simplicity.
- Large variety
of futures contracts.
- Lower brokerage
costs.
- Profit potential
when prices are going down.
- Longer trading
hours.
- Regulated
industry.
- Share index
products.
- Electronic
trading.
- Efficient
order placement.
There
are a lot of myths about futures trading among investors today.
I guess that this is because they are marketed as a cheap way to
trade using a high level of leverage. The misunderstanding of leverage
is the greatest problem with futures trading. It is the use of leverage
that makes futures so attractive to many traders once they understand
it. We have clients trading futures at many levels from trading
index futures longer term instead of shares to daytraders. Futures
trading requires a higher level of knowledge and trading skills
than shares.
Futures
trading is not new. It is a well accepted, century old procedure
used in many commodities for protecting profits, stabilising prices
and smoothing the flow of merchandise. For example, it has long
been an integral part of the wool industry in Australia: producers,
wool buyers, mill owners, and others have used it to protect themselves
against losses due to price fluctuations.
Now
Futures trading is a vital part of the investment industry where
buyers and sellers of an expanding list of commodities, financial
instruments, and currencies, come together to trade. The trading
is carried out in contracts of specific commodities for delivery
at a future date.
There
are two major participants in futures trading :- Hedgers & Traders
Hedging
The
primary purpose of futures markets, is to provide an efficient and
effective mechanism to manage price risk. By buying or selling futures
contracts, these contracts establish a price level now for items
to be delivered at a later date. Hedgers may be farmers, businesses,
miners, exporters, fund manages, etc. who wish to establish a known
price level weeks or months in advance for products they want to
buy or sell in the cash market. This futures position protects them
against unfavourable price changes that might occur.
For
example, a fund manager may want to protect a share portfolio from
an expected down move in the share market. A sold position is taken
in the index futures market at an acceptable price. If the share
prices fall and the value of the fund is reduced, a corresponding
profit on the futures contracts will offset the losses and protect
the value of the portfolio.
Traders
The
Trader or investor is looking for the risks that hedgers wish to
avoid. Speculators have no intention of making or taking delivery
of the commodity. Instead, they seek to profit from a change in
the price. They buy when they believe prices will rise; and they
sell when they believe prices will decline.
Long
(bought) positions are entered into when prices are expected to
increase.
Short
(sold) positions are entered into when prices are expected to decrease.
Contracts
Are Closed By Taking An Opposite Position. Very few contracts ever
mature. Most are cancelled out by an opposite transaction. ( i.e.
the seller buys back his sold contract or the buyer sells his bought
contract.) If the seller buys back his contract at a lower price
than his original sold contract he makes a profit on his futures.
If he has to pay more to buy it back than he originally sold it
for, he then makes a loss on his futures. Obviously the same applies
to the holder of a bought contract only the procedure is reversed
Traders
are a vital component in the futures industry as they helps to provide
active, liquid and competitive markets.
The
Clearing House
All
Contracts traded on a Futures Exchange must be registered with a
Clearing House which, through its computer facilities, has a continuous
and complete record of both sides of the market. All Floor Members
must be members of the Clearing House. Associate Members and other
large participants may become members of the Clearing House and
open accounts by lodging cash, securities or appropriate guarantees
to cover their operations.
Risk
Futures
trading is considered to be high profit and high risk and it shouldn't
be attempted by the novice investor. The risk is a direct result
of the leverage, which is the same reason that futures are becoming
so popular. It's the leverage and simplicity of futures trading
that is attracting an increasing number of investors to this form
of high profit trading. Once the risk associated with the leverage
is addressed, futures trading becomes a valuable trading vehicle.
Risk and money management are vital to any form of investing or
trading, and futures trading requires specific money management
strategies. Don't start trading futures until you totally understand
the markets and you have a detailed trading plan.
Traders
are attracted by:
- Leverage:
Traders can control a large value of a commodity with a small
deposit.
Example
: A trader can manage the equivalent of a stock portfolio worth
$80000 with $4500 deposit
- Simplicity:
The simplicity of only having to follow a small number of items
instead of follow a large number of shares makes trading more
enjoyable and you can focus specific trades.
- Large
variety of futures contracts: The number of futures contracts
traded around the world are growing. You can now find a futures
contract that suits your trading requirements.
- Lower
brokerage costs: The transaction costs for trading futures
are a fraction of those levied on other trading vehicles.
- Profit
potential when prices are going down:
As trading is conducted on contracts and no physical commodity
changes hands, it is possible to sell a contract in anticipation
of prices going down and buy it back at a lower price, thus making
a profit on a falling market. This is called going short.
- Longer
trading hours:
Most financial futures contracts are traded around the clock which
allows traders to : a) protect there position against adverse
overseas price movement or b) trade to take advantage of these
overseas price movements that affect the value of the local futures
contract.
- Regulated
industry:
The futures exchanges around the world are very well regulated
which makes trading much safer than many other investment vehicles.
- Share
index products:
The share index products are very popular with institutions and
private investors because a large number of shares can be traded
with one futures contract.
- Electronic
trading: Some futures exchanges use electronic trading which
allows orders to be electronically matched based on a price and
time priority. This allows for a more balanced trading environment
between small private traders and large organisations.
- Efficient
order placement:
The orders accepted in the futures industry allow for better trade
management and provides more effective risk management. Orders
like stop orders
and stop limit orders allow traders to place orders
to protect their position without having to watch the price activity.
Futures
trading is a ZERO game.
For every buyer
there is a seller; for every long there is a short; so for every
dollar that is made there is a dollar lost; the market is a balance
of judgment so that for every good judgment there is a poor judgment.
(The cost of brokerage and tax are not allowed for in this example).
Physical
Delivery
Physical delivery
and cash settlement are two different means of settling a futures
contract. For the most part, futures contracts are physical delivery.
Generally, traders close out their position by buying or selling
an offsetting position before settlement.
Cash
Settlement
Some futures
contracts are cash deliverable, which means that they are settled
with cash at the time of expiry if still held open. Upon expiry,
profits and losses are credited or debited to the account of the
contract buyers/sellers in an amount equal to the difference between
the contracted price and the final settlement price multiplied by
the contract multiplier. Most are closed out before expiry.
Stock index
futures contracts are cash settled, as there is no physical delivery
when the contract expires
Margin
At
the end of each trading day, every customer's account is totalled
and every purchase and sale is matched. Gains and losses are credited
and debited to each account each day. If there is not enough money
in the account, then you receive a margin call. Because futures
contracts are highly leveraged, the trader must maintain a minimum
amount of cash in his account known as a deposit.
Spreads
A
futures spread involves buying one contract and selling another
contract. The investor hopes to profit by any price discrepancy
which develops between the two contracts.
The
Contract Unit
Futures
contracts have 4 components :-
Three
fixed components
1)
A specific quantity of the commodity
2)
A specific quality of the commodity
3)
A set delivery date
One
variable component
1)
A price agreed upon on competitive open outcry auction or computer
trading systems.
Daily
Price Limits
Futures
contracts have maximum limits as to the amount (price) the contract
can move during the day. The exchanges set these limits. The limits
are stated in terms of the previous day's closing price plus and
minus so many cents or dollars per trading unit. If a futures contract
price has increased by its daily limit, there will be no trading
at any higher price until the next day of trading. There is also
daily limit down price. If a futures price has declined by its daily
limit, there can be no trading at any lower price
until the next day of trading.
Options
on Futures Contracts
Put
and call options are being traded on an increasing number of futures
contracts. Trading options on futures allows the speculator to participate
in the futures market and know in advance what the maximum loss
on his position will be. The purchase of a call entitles the option
buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a futures contract
at a specified price at any time during the life of the option.
The underlying futures contract and the price are specified. The
purchase of a put option entitles the option buyer the right, not
the obligation, to sell a specified futures contract at a specified
price. Keep in mind that the profit realized with an option strategy
is reduced by the option premium. The option's price is determined
in the same fashion that an equity option is determined.
Selling
Options
Options
are sold by other market participants known as option writers, or
grantors. The reason people write options is to earn the premium
paid by the option buyer. The option writer hopes that the option
expires worthless. When this happens the writer retains the full
amount of the premium. If the option buyer exercises the option,
however, the writer must pay the difference between the market value
and the exercise price. The possible loss to the option writer is
unlimited.
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